Friday, November 30, 2018

Notable Numbers From November 2018

5.8%

That’s where 30-year fixed mortgage rates are headed in 2019, based on our 2019 predictions. And guess what that will mean for affordability?


386,000

Number of existing homes in U.S. coastal areas likely to be at risk of permanent inundation or chronic flooding by 2050 if greenhouse gas emissions climb unchecked.


2.5 million

That same estimate for the year 2100. And if emissions are cut roughly in line with the Paris agreement on climate? About 348,000 homes by 2050 and 1.3 million homes by 2100.


$11,500

Home value difference between areas where women with newborns move from and where they move to. That finding comes from a follow-up to our initial research that found birth rates dropped the most in counties where home values grew the most.


52.3%

Share of homes for sale that a family with the household income and student debt could afford. Without student debt, that same family could afford 66.4 percent of homes. Guess what share of renters looking to buy a home has student debt?


1.4 percentage points

Boost in annual rent appreciation that people living in the New York area can expect from the “Amazon effect” of adding 25,000 high-paid jobs — beyond what’s already anticipated.


19

Number of markets out of the 35 most populous where there’s a double-digit percentage point gap between home-value recovery rates for ZIP codes where there were high versus low foreclosures during the housing crisis. The recovery has been uneven, even within markets.

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